22 Sept · 08:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OO
🇺🇦Oleksandr Osadchyi
ELO 1538
FormWLWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Osadchyi
FV
🇺🇦Fedir Voinarovskyi
ELO 1479
FormLWLLL
56%
44%
🌟Voinarovskyi stays under total as underdog 63% (57)
Fair odds · Osadchyi
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+59
H2H13-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+59)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-8)