22 Sept · 10:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
IK
🇺🇦Ivan Kozachuk
ELO 1635
FormLLWWW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Kozachuk
IR
🇺🇦Ivan Romaniak
ELO 1542
FormWLLLL
60%
40%
Fair odds · Kozachuk
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
19%
3-0
18%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+93
H2H42-26
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+93)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (42-26)