22 Sept · 12:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AT
🇺🇦Andrey Troyan
ELO 1613
FormWWWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Troyan
YK
🇺🇦Yaroslav Kovshun
ELO 1543
FormLLLWW
57%
43%
🌟Kovshun covers set handicap as underdog 63% (123)
Fair odds · Troyan
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 34% · 2.96· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~73 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+70
H2H24-67
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+70)