24 Sept · 08:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MP
🇺🇦Mykola Pohorilyi
ELO 1617
FormLLWLW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Pohorilyi
SH
🇺🇦Serhii Honcharenko
ELO 1490
FormLWWWL
63%
37%
Fair odds · Pohorilyi
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 78% · 1.28· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~76 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+127
H2H34-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+127)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (34-13)