24 Sept · 08:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BC
🇺🇦Bohdan Chaikovskyi
ELO 1666
FormLWLWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Chaikovskyi
AR
🇺🇦Andrii Romanenko
ELO 1596
FormWWLWL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Chaikovskyi
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+70
H2H49-22
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+70)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (49-22)