24 Sept · 07:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OM
🇺🇦Oleksandr Maslovskyi
ELO 1460
FormLLLWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Maslovskyi
YS
🇺🇦Yuriy Shcherbak
ELO 1371
FormLWLWW
59%
41%
Fair odds · Maslovskyi
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
19%
3-0
18%
1-3
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+89
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+89)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)