24 Sept · 07:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DK
🇺🇦Dmitro Kuzmenko
ELO 1496
FormWLLWW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Kuzmenko
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Miroshnychenko
ELO 1382
FormLLWLL
62%
38%
Fair odds · Kuzmenko
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~75 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
22%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+114
H2H66-40
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+114)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (66-40)