24 Sept · 07:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VZ
🇺🇦Vitaliy Zharskiy
ELO 1527
FormWLLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Romanenko
AR
🇺🇦Andrii Romanenko
ELO 1593
FormLWWLW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Romanenko
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~80 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+66
H2H23-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+66)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (23-10)