24 Sept · 06:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BC
🇺🇦Bohdan Chaikovskyi
ELO 1677
FormWWLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Chaikovskyi
OP
🇺🇦Oleksandr Pohonov
ELO 1615
FormLLWWW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Chaikovskyi
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+62
H2H39-27
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+62)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (39-27)