24 Sept · 08:15 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
TH
🇺🇦Tomas Hlavacek
ELO 1727
FormWWWWL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Hlavacek
MS
🇺🇦Michal Stibor
ELO 1585
FormLLLWW
65%
35%
🌟Hlavacek goes over total as favourite 67% (27)
Fair odds · Hlavacek
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 72% · 1.39· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~76 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
18%
2-3
13%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+142
H2H3-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+142)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-1)