24 Sept · 08:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PW
🇺🇦Petr Wasik
ELO 1682
FormWWLWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Wasik
MB
🇺🇦Martin Bouska
ELO 1604
FormWWWLL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Wasik
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+78
H2H1-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+78)