24 Sept · 08:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AK
🇺🇦Anatolii Kovalenko
ELO 1446
FormLWLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Ovsiienko
OO
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ovsiienko
ELO 1489
FormLLWLL
45%
55%
🌟Ovsiienko stays under total as favourite 65% (165)
Fair odds · Ovsiienko
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~73 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+43
H2H11-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+43)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-9)