25 Sept · 07:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Syksa
ELO 1571
FormWLLWL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Syksa
OL
🇺🇦Oleksandr Lyman
ELO 1405
FormWWWLL
67%
33%
Fair odds · Syksa
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~77 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
18%
2-3
12%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+166
H2H27-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+166)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (27-3)