25 Sept · 06:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MT
🇺🇦Mykolay Treschetka
ELO 1498
FormWLLWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Treschetka
OM
🇺🇦Oleh Maksymkiv
ELO 1419
FormLLWWW
58%
42%
Fair odds · Treschetka
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+79
H2H59-33
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+79)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (59-33)