25 Sept · 07:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VM
🇺🇦Vitalii Mukhin
ELO 1499
FormLWWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Korniichuk
VK
🇺🇦Vitalii Korniichuk
ELO 1513
FormWWWLL
48%
52%
🌟Korniichuk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (55)
Fair odds · Korniichuk
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 53% · 1.89· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~73 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+14
H2H5-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.