25 Sept · 07:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SH
🇺🇦Serhii Honcharenko
ELO 1500
FormLWWWL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Honcharenko
VM
🇺🇦Vasyl Matviichuk
ELO 1333
FormWWWWL
67%
33%
🌟Matviichuk stays under total as underdog 71% (98)
Fair odds · Honcharenko
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~76 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
18%
2-3
12%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+167
H2H69-56
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+167)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (69-56)