26 Sept · 09:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TK
🇺🇦Tomas Kanka
ELO 1500
FormWLLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Kanka
MT
🇺🇦Mikhail Taranko
ELO 1457
FormWLLLL
55%
45%
🌟Kanka rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (49)
Fair odds · Kanka
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+43
H2H10-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+43)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-5)