26 Sept · 09:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
VK
🇺🇦Vadim Komar
ELO 1613
FormLLLWL
82%Win chancemodel fair 1.22Ponomarenko
SP
🇺🇦Serhii Ponomarenko
ELO 1962
FormLLWLW
18%
82%
Fair odds · Ponomarenko
Model 82% · 1.22vsMarket 89% · 1.13· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 69%Total ~70 pts
0-3
43%
1-3
26%
2-3
13%
3-2
9%
3-1
6%
Elo Gap+349
H2H99-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+349)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (99-7)