26 Sept · 09:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DP
🇺🇦Denys Pesternikov
ELO 1700
FormWLLWW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Pesternikov
DS
🇺🇦Denys Shcherbak
ELO 1601
FormLLWWL
60%
40%
🌟Pesternikov stays under total as favourite 63% (275)
Fair odds · Pesternikov
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 67% · 1.49· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~75 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
21%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+99
H2H64-32
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+99)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (64-32)