26 Sept · 07:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
IK
🇺🇦Ivan Kozachuk
ELO 1622
FormLWLLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Kozachuk
IR
🇺🇦Ivan Romaniak
ELO 1532
FormWLLLL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Kozachuk
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
19%
3-0
18%
1-3
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+90
H2H45-26
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+90)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (45-26)