26 Sept · 08:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PH
🇺🇦Petr Hlina
ELO 1503
FormLWWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Hlina
JH
🇺🇦Josef Hanacek
ELO 1450
FormLLLWL
56%
44%
🔥 Underdog lean · Hanacek🌟Hlina rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (29)
Fair odds · Hlina
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 44% · 2.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+53
H2H3-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+53)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)