26 Sept · 15:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
IK
🇺🇦Ihor Kvak
ELO 1479
FormLWLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Fashchevskyi
IF
🇺🇦Ivan Fashchevskyi
ELO 1492
FormWWLLW
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kvak🌟Fashchevskyi rarely covers set handicap as favourite 26% (112)
Fair odds · Fashchevskyi
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+13
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.