26 Sept · 17:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OG
🇺🇦Oleksii Gazhula
ELO 1544
FormLWWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Gazhula
IF
🇺🇦Ivan Fashchevskyi
ELO 1492
FormWWLLW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Gazhula
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+52
H2H15-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+52)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-8)