27 Sept · 07:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
PO
🇺🇦Petr Orlowski
ELO 1667
FormWWWLW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Orlowski
LP
🇺🇦Lukas Provaznik
ELO 1542
FormLWLLW
63%
37%
🌟Provaznik covers set handicap as underdog 69% (84)
Fair odds · Orlowski
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 60% · 1.66· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~76 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+125
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+125)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)