27 Sept · 08:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DP
🇺🇦Dmytro Palii
ELO 1544
FormWWWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Slozka
MS
🇺🇦Mykola Slozka
ELO 1603
FormWLLWL
44%
56%
Fair odds · Slozka
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+59
H2H10-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+59)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-7)