27 Sept · 07:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PK
🇺🇦Petr Kolesnik
ELO 1557
FormLLWLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Kolesnik
MD
🇺🇦Maksym Denysenko
ELO 1553
FormLWWLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Kolesnik
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+4
H2H5-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.