27 Sept · 08:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AS
🇺🇦Anton Shypilov
ELO 1430
FormWLLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Hura
OH
🇺🇦Orest Hura
ELO 1457
FormLWLLW
47%
53%
🌟Hura rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (151)
Fair odds · Hura
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 59% · 1.69· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+27
H2H32-42
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.