27 Sept · 08:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
OZ
🇺🇦Oleksandr Zhyrnov
ELO 1566
FormLWWLL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Zhyrnov
YM
🇺🇦Yaroslav Makovka
ELO 1446
FormLWLLW
63%
37%
Fair odds · Zhyrnov
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~75 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+120
H2H14-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+120)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-9)