27 Sept · 08:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VM
🇺🇦Vitalii Mukhin
ELO 1463
FormLLLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Semenets
SS
🇺🇦Serhii Semenets
ELO 1465
FormWWLWL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Semenets
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H10-20
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.