27 Sept · 07:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SS
🇺🇦Serhii Solomko
ELO 1539
FormLLWLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Solomko
DP
🇺🇦Dmytro Patalakha
ELO 1482
FormLWLLW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Solomko
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+57
H2H8-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+57)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-7)