27 Sept · 07:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
VS
🇺🇦Vladyslav Stukalov
ELO 1325
FormLLLWW
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Semenets
SS
🇺🇦Serhii Semenets
ELO 1465
FormWWLWL
36%
64%
Fair odds · Semenets
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~74 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
2-3
18%
3-2
13%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+140
H2H38-30
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+140)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (38-30)