27 Sept · 09:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VB
🇺🇦Vitalii Boyko
ELO 1393
FormLLWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Vlasenko
VV
🇺🇦Valerii Vlasenko
ELO 1425
FormWLLLW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Vlasenko
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~79 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+32
H2H19-51
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.