27 Sept · 09:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
SA
🇺🇦Serhii Aristarkhov
ELO 1622
FormLWLWL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Aristarkhov
OZ
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ziakun
ELO 1521
FormLLLWW
61%
39%
🌟Ziakun covers set handicap as underdog 67% (185)
Fair odds · Aristarkhov
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~75 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
21%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+101
H2H26-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+101)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (26-4)