27 Sept · 09:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Sydorchuk
ELO 1507
FormLLWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Palii
DP
🇺🇦Dmytro Palii
ELO 1544
FormWWWWW
46%
54%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sydorchuk🌟Palii rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (36)
Fair odds · Palii
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+37
H2H3-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.