27 Sept · 09:15 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MK
🇺🇦Matej Kovarik
ELO 1545
FormLWLLW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Zelinka
MZ
🇺🇦Matus Zelinka
ELO 1658
FormLWWWL
38%
62%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kovarik🌟Zelinka rarely covers set handicap as favourite 28% (89)
Fair odds · Zelinka
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~75 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
22%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+113
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+113)