27 Sept · 09:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LH
🇺🇦Lukas Heinzl
ELO 1567
FormLWLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Kocvara
MK
🇺🇦Martin Kocvara
ELO 1623
FormLWWWW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Kocvara
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 31% · 3.17· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+56
H2H2-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+56)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)