27 Sept · 08:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AK
🇺🇦Andrii Kurtenko
ELO 1462
FormLLWWL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Tymofeev
OT
🇺🇦Oleksandr Tymofeev
ELO 1626
FormWLLWW
33%
67%
Fair odds · Tymofeev
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~74 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
18%
3-2
12%
3-1
12%
Elo Gap+164
H2H4-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+164)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-3)