27 Sept · 10:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
SA
🇺🇦Serhii Aristarkhov
ELO 1622
FormLWLWL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Aristarkhov
DK
🇺🇦Dmitro Kuzmenko
ELO 1497
FormLWWLW
63%
37%
Fair odds · Aristarkhov
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~73 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+125
H2H13-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+125)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-7)