27 Sept · 07:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VV
🇺🇦Valerii Vlasenko
ELO 1425
FormWLLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Shypilov
AS
🇺🇦Anton Shypilov
ELO 1430
FormWLLLW
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vlasenko🌟Vlasenko covers set handicap as underdog 69% (283)
Fair odds · Shypilov
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+5
H2H50-51
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.