27 Sept · 08:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PK
🇺🇦Petr Kolesnik
ELO 1557
FormLLWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Torianyk
OT
🇺🇦Oleh Torianyk
ELO 1595
FormLWLLL
46%
54%
Fair odds · Torianyk
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+38
H2H50-36
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.