27 Sept · 10:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AD
🇺🇦Andrii Droshchynskyi
ELO 1590
FormLWWWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Droshchynskyi
OV
🇺🇦Oleg Varlamov
ELO 1508
FormLLLLW
59%
41%
Fair odds · Droshchynskyi
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 72% · 1.39· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+82
H2H10-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+82)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-5)