27 Sept · 07:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VM
🇺🇦Vitalii Mukhin
ELO 1463
FormLLLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Khalenko
MK
🇺🇦Mykhailo Khalenko
ELO 1470
FormLLWLW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Khalenko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~73 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+7
H2H9-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.