27 Sept · 08:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SK
🇺🇦Serhii Kovalenko
ELO 1402
FormWWLLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Nechai
VN
🇺🇦Volodymyr Nechai
ELO 1476
FormLLWLL
42%
58%
🌟Kovalenko covers set handicap as underdog 64% (14)
Fair odds · Nechai
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~74 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+74
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+74)