27 Sept · 07:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
YB
🇺🇦Yurii Bondarenko
ELO 1542
FormWWLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Bondarenko
OV
🇺🇦Oleg Varlamov
ELO 1508
FormLLLLW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Bondarenko
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+34
H2H4-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.