27 Sept · 16:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
LS
🇺🇦Lukas Svoboda
ELO 1553
FormLWLLW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Svoboda
OM
🇺🇦Ondrej Mezera
ELO 1457
FormWLLLL
60%
40%
🔥 Underdog lean · Mezera🌟Mezera covers set handicap as underdog 68% (208)
Fair odds · Svoboda
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
21%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+96
H2H5-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+96)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-2)