27 Sept · 16:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MK
🇺🇦Matej Kovarik
ELO 1542
FormLWWLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Kovarik
OM
🇺🇦Ondrej Mezera
ELO 1457
FormWLLLL
59%
41%
🔥 Underdog lean · Mezera🌟Mezera covers set handicap as underdog 68% (208)
Fair odds · Kovarik
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+85
H2H1-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+85)