27 Sept · 18:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OM
🇺🇦Ondrej Mezera
ELO 1457
FormWLLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Rejent
SR
🇺🇦Stepan Rejent
ELO 1517
FormWWLLL
44%
56%
🔥 Underdog lean · Mezera🌟Mezera covers set handicap as underdog 68% (208)
Fair odds · Rejent
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+60
H2H19-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+60)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (19-17)