27 Sept · 19:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SO
🇺🇦Sergey Osipov
ELO 1445
FormWWWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Ostrovskyi
PO
🇺🇦Pavlo Ostrovskyi
ELO 1493
FormL
45%
55%
🌟Osipov covers set handicap as underdog 63% (35)
Fair odds · Ostrovskyi
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+48
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+48)