27 Sept · 18:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PO
🇺🇦Pavlo Ostrovskyi
ELO 1493
FormL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Ostrovskyi
VK
🇺🇦Vasily Kondratenko
ELO 1410
FormLWLWW
59%
41%
Fair odds · Ostrovskyi
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+83
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+83)