28 Sept · 06:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Syksa
ELO 1528
FormLLLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Syksa
DK
🇺🇦Dmitro Kuzmenko
ELO 1484
FormLWLLL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Syksa
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+44
H2H82-42
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+44)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (82-42)